Investment and Financial Markets

What Is Quadruple Witching and How Does It Affect Stocks?

Uncover Quadruple Witching, a recurring market event where simultaneous contract expirations can influence stock behavior and trading dynamics.

A specific day on the financial calendar captures the attention of market participants due to a unique confluence of events. This recurring phenomenon involves the simultaneous expiration of certain financial contracts, creating a period of heightened activity. This scheduled juncture requires positions in these specialized financial products to be addressed, leading to distinct market behaviors.

Defining Quadruple Witching

Quadruple witching refers to the simultaneous expiration of four distinct types of financial derivative contracts on a specific day. While the term “quadruple” implies four instruments, single stock futures, one of the original four, have not traded in the U.S. since around 2020. This makes the event effectively “triple witching” in the current U.S. market, though the historical term remains widely used.

The mass expiration of these contracts leads to increased trading activity. Market participants holding these expiring contracts must decide whether to close their positions, allow them to expire worthless, or “roll over” their positions into new contracts with later expiration dates. This necessary action by a large number of market participants contributes to an uptick in trading volume. Consequently, these periods can experience more pronounced price movements as positions are unwound or adjusted.

The Expiring Instruments

Stock options give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a specific stock at a predetermined price. When these options expire, holders must decide if they will exercise their right to buy or sell the underlying shares, or let the option lapse.
Stock index options derive their value from a stock market index, such as the S&P 500, rather than an individual company’s stock. Unlike stock options, these are typically cash-settled upon expiration, meaning no physical shares change hands. Their expiration requires participants to settle the cash difference based on the index’s value.
Stock index futures are agreements to buy or sell the value of a stock index at a specific price on a future date. Like stock index options, index futures are cash-settled because a physical index cannot be delivered. Traders must either close their positions or roll them into new contracts as the expiration date approaches.
Single stock futures historically completed the quartet. These are futures contracts based on the value of a specific individual stock. While they were once a component of quadruple witching, single stock futures have not traded in the U.S. since 2020. Globally, they allowed traders to speculate on individual stock price movements without owning the actual shares.

Timing and Market Dynamics

Quadruple witching occurs four times annually, consistently falling on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This specific quarterly timing aligns with the typical expiration cycles for many derivative contracts, creating a synchronized event for market participants. The regularity of these dates allows traders and investors to anticipate and prepare for the associated market activity.

These days are often characterized by a noticeable increase in trading volume across the markets. This surge in activity happens as investors and traders close out their expiring positions, roll them over into new contracts, or engage in arbitrage to capitalize on price discrepancies. The heightened volume can sometimes lead to increased market volatility, especially as the trading day progresses.

The final hour of trading on a quadruple witching day is commonly referred to as the “quadruple witching hour.” During this specific period, market activity can become particularly intense, with rapid price movements and significant trading volumes. This concentration of activity results from the culmination of all the necessary actions that market participants must take before the contracts officially expire at the market close.

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