What Are the Best Futures Contracts to Trade?
Learn to identify the ideal futures contracts for your trading strategy and understand the critical mechanics of the market.
Learn to identify the ideal futures contracts for your trading strategy and understand the critical mechanics of the market.
A futures contract is a standardized legal agreement to buy or sell a specific commodity, currency, or financial instrument at a predetermined price on a future date. These contracts serve distinct purposes: hedging for producers and consumers to mitigate price risk, and speculation for traders aiming to profit from anticipated price movements. Identifying the “best” futures contract is individual, depending on a trader’s financial situation, risk tolerance, and objectives. This article provides insights into selection criteria and an overview of widely traded instruments.
Selecting an appropriate futures contract requires careful evaluation of several defining characteristics that directly influence trading outcomes. Understanding these factors is important for any individual considering participation in these markets.
Liquidity is a primary consideration, referring to the ease with which a futures contract can be bought or sold without significantly affecting its price. Contracts with high trading volume and narrow bid-ask spreads are considered highly liquid, allowing for efficient entry and exit points. This characteristic helps ensure that orders can be filled quickly and at prices close to the prevailing market rate, minimizing potential slippage.
Volatility, or the degree of price fluctuation over time, plays a significant role in futures trading. While higher volatility can present opportunities for substantial gains, it also increases the potential for significant losses. Traders must assess their comfort level with price swings and adjust their strategies accordingly, recognizing that market movements can be swift.
Margin requirements dictate the capital a trader must deposit to open and maintain a futures position. Initial margin is the upfront deposit required to enter a trade, acting as collateral against potential losses. Maintenance margin is a lower threshold; if account equity falls below this level, a margin call is issued, requiring additional funds.
The contract size and value are important elements, determining the total notional value of a futures position. This value is derived from the underlying asset’s price multiplied by the contract multiplier. A larger contract size means each tick or point movement translates to a greater dollar change, impacting both potential profits and losses. Understanding this relationship helps traders gauge their exposure to market fluctuations.
Market hours vary across different futures contracts, with some trading nearly 24 hours a day electronically, while others have specific session times. Electronic platforms allow traders to react to news around the clock. Awareness of these hours is important for managing positions and understanding when market activity is highest.
Personal knowledge and interest are important for sustained success in futures trading. Focusing on markets one understands or is willing to thoroughly research provides an advantage. Aligning trading activities with genuine interest enhances the dedication required to develop and execute effective strategies.
Futures contracts are broadly categorized based on their underlying assets, reflecting the diverse range of markets they represent. Each category offers unique characteristics and responds to different economic drivers.
Equity index futures are contracts based on the value of a stock market index, such as the S&P 500 or Nasdaq 100. These contracts allow traders to speculate on the overall direction of a specific stock market without buying individual shares. Their prices reflect the collective performance of the constituent stocks within the index.
Commodity futures involve agreements to buy or sell physical goods like raw materials or agricultural products. This broad category is subdivided into energy, metals, and agricultural commodities. Energy futures, such as crude oil and natural gas, are influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and weather patterns.
Metals futures, including gold, silver, and copper, reflect economic sentiment, inflation expectations, and industrial demand. Gold, for instance, is seen as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty.
Agricultural futures, covering products like corn, wheat, soybeans, and livestock, are highly sensitive to weather conditions, crop reports, and global trade policies.
Currency futures represent agreements to exchange one currency for another at a specified rate on a future date. These contracts allow participants to speculate on or hedge against fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. Major currency pairs like the Euro/USD or Japanese Yen/USD are traded, reflecting cross-border economic activity and interest rate differentials.
Interest rate futures are contracts whose value is derived from underlying interest-bearing financial instruments, such as government bonds or short-term interest rates. Examples include US Treasury bond futures or Eurodollar futures. These contracts are highly responsive to changes in monetary policy, economic data releases, and expectations regarding future interest rate movements.
Certain futures contracts garner significant attention due to their liquidity, market relevance, and appeal to a broad range of traders. These instruments often serve as benchmarks for their respective underlying markets.
The E-mini S&P 500 futures contract (ES) is among the most actively traded futures globally, serving as a primary barometer for the U.S. equity market. Its exceptional liquidity, with millions of contracts trading daily, allows for efficient order execution and tight bid-ask spreads. The contract’s popularity stems from its ability to provide exposure to the S&P 500 index with a smaller contract size, making it accessible to a wider range of participants. Each point movement in the ES contract represents a $50 change in value, and traders can enter or exit positions with minimal impact.
Crude Oil futures (CL) are a prominent contract, reflecting the global importance of energy markets. Traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), these futures are responsive to geopolitical events, global supply disruptions, and changes in demand forecasts. The contract’s inherent volatility can lead to substantial price swings, offering profit potential but also heightened risk. A single full-sized CL contract represents 1,000 barrels of crude oil, meaning each $0.01 per barrel price movement equates to a $10 change in value.
Gold futures (GC) are widely traded as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty or inflation concerns. Their value reacts inversely to the U.S. dollar and interest rates, providing a hedge against currency devaluation. The contract’s liquidity ensures easy entry and exit, making it an instrument for both speculative trading and portfolio diversification. Each Gold futures contract represents 100 troy ounces, so a $1.00 per ounce price change results in a $100 change in value.
Euro FX futures (6E) represent a liquid currency futures contract, reflecting the exchange rate between the Euro and the U.S. Dollar. This contract is a direct reflection of global economic sentiment and the relative monetary policies of the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve. Its high trading volume provides good liquidity, making it suitable for both short-term speculation and longer-term currency exposure. A single 6E contract represents 125,000 Euros, meaning each one-pip movement (0.0001) results in a $12.50 change in value.
The 10-Year US Treasury Note futures (ZN) contract is a benchmark for interest rates and a bellwether for the U.S. bond market. It is sensitive to economic data releases, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policy decisions. Traders use ZN futures to speculate on interest rate direction or to hedge interest rate risk in fixed-income portfolios. This contract has deep liquidity, allowing large institutions and individual traders to participate efficiently.
Engaging in futures trading involves understanding the practical operational aspects beyond simply selecting a contract. These mechanics govern how positions are opened, maintained, and closed.
Leverage is a characteristic of futures trading, allowing participants to control a substantial notional value of an underlying asset with a small amount of capital, known as margin. For instance, a trader might control $100,000 worth of an asset with only a few thousand dollars in margin. While this amplification can magnify potential profits, it equally amplifies potential losses, requiring careful risk management.
Margin calls occur when account equity falls below the maintenance margin requirement, due to adverse price movements against an open position. When a margin call is issued, the trader must deposit additional funds to bring the account equity back up to the initial margin level within a short timeframe. Failure to meet a margin call results in forced liquidation of positions by the broker.
Futures contracts have expiration dates, at which point they cease to trade. Most speculative traders close their positions before expiration to avoid the complexities of physical delivery, which applies to certain commodity futures. Instead, traders roll their positions by closing the expiring contract and opening a new position in a deferred month, maintaining market exposure. For cash-settled contracts, like equity index futures, positions are settled financially at expiration based on the underlying index’s value, without physical delivery.
Order types manage entry and exit points in futures trading. A market order is an instruction to buy or sell immediately at the best available current price, offering speed but no price guarantee. A limit order specifies a maximum buy price or a minimum sell price, ensuring price control but not guaranteed execution. Stop-loss orders limit losses by automatically triggering a market or limit order once a specified price is reached, providing a risk management tool.
To participate in futures markets, individuals must open a futures brokerage account. This account provides access to regulated exchanges where futures contracts are traded. Trades are executed through a trading platform provided by the broker, which offers real-time market data, charting tools, and the functionality to place and manage orders.